Join discussions on moving to and living in the USVI, ask questions, share info & tips! (Vacationing? Visit Travel Message Board)


Hurricane Season 2014

avatar

CruzanIron
October 07, 2014 03:09PM

Registered: 4 years ago
Posts: 2,383

Dr. Gray will be issuing his updated hurricane prediction today.
The hurricane season is scheduled to end November 30th.

Rumors are that his updated forecast will predict 5 named storms this season,
of which 4 will become hurricanes.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

Bassman
October 07, 2014 03:27PM

Registered: 12 years ago
Posts: 206

Dr. Grey retired a few years ago. The person(s) that replaced him can not hold a candle to Dr. Grey. I think the new person factors in a political agenda to his forecasts. He has been predicting above average hurricanes at the start of the season to accommodate the AGW crowd and then scales back during the season when there are only a few storms.
I've noticed that since Dr. Grey left, every storm is named, hurricane or not. In the past I only remember hurricanes being named.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014
avatar

CruzanIron
October 07, 2014 04:06PM

Registered: 4 years ago
Posts: 2,383

Retired? Someone needs to tell him!

"The 2014 hurricane season is expected to have a below average number of named storms and hurricanes, according to Dr. Phillip J. Klotzbach and Dr. William Gray of Colorado State University (CSU)."

[www.weather.com]

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

East Ender
October 07, 2014 04:07PM

Registered: 13 years ago
Posts: 4,909

Quote
Bassman
I've noticed that since Dr. Grey left, every storm is named, hurricane or not. In the past I only remember hurricanes being named.

Bassman: Memory is a funny thing. ;-) The naming has always occurred when the disturbance becomes a tropical storm. They have improved the ability to measure the power of a disturbance. Heck we now have "invests", which are not even tropical depressions. I believe we have more named storms because the ones that appear and disappear in the middle of the Atlantic, and are not experienced by anyone, are seen on satellite.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

OldTart
October 07, 2014 04:47PM

Registered: 6 years ago
Posts: 6,524

Dr Gray is 84 but still reporting?



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 10/07/2014 04:47PM by OldTart.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

East Ender
October 07, 2014 05:09PM

Registered: 13 years ago
Posts: 4,909

[en.wikipedia.org]

Professor Emeritus at CSU and still on the forecast staff,although has "stepped back" from primary authorship.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

Alana33
October 07, 2014 05:44PM

Registered: 6 years ago
Posts: 11,779

We still have October and Novemeber to get thru so continue crossing fingers as last few years we seem to get more activity towards the end of Oct.

Storms get named when they get to the catagory of havingTropical Storm winds.
To me/my memory, Dr. Grey was more often wrong than right when it came to his predictions.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014
avatar

CruzanIron
October 07, 2014 06:29PM

Registered: 4 years ago
Posts: 2,383

November never was hurricane season when I was younger.

I wonder if the Weather Channel added it?

JUNE - to soon

JULY - stand by

AUGUST - a must

SEPTEMBER - remember

OCTOBER - all over

That's the way I learned the season.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

OldTart
October 07, 2014 07:01PM

Registered: 6 years ago
Posts: 6,524

Hurricane season "officially" over October but November is historically one of the two wettest months. Hurricane Thanksgiving Day has always been the third Monday in October. That darned Weather Channel.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

Alana33
October 07, 2014 09:33PM

Registered: 6 years ago
Posts: 11,779

Was it hurricane Oscar that gave us the drenching and wind late October, a couple years ago? Lot's of rain, downed trees, mud and rockslides and lots of leaf litter but no damage to properties as I recall. Power out for about 4-5 days my location/stt.

While unusual, there was wrong way lenny one Nov. I remember one in December many years ago so while November marks the traditional end of hurricane season, they can occur later.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

islandjoan
October 08, 2014 09:29AM

Registered: 11 years ago
Posts: 1,496

Hurricane Omar hit St Croix overnight October 15, 2008.

Here is info from wunderground:

Omar intensifies to Category 3, but mostly spares the Lesser Antilles
By: JeffMasters, 2:39 PM GMT on October 16, 2008

Hurricane Omar blasted through the Lesser Antilles last night, intensifying into a Category 3 hurricane as it accelerated to the northeast. Fortunately, the eye missed all the islands, as the storm passed through the narrow Anedega Passage between the Virgin Islands and Anguilla. However, the western eyewall did pass over the eastern tip of St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands (Figure 1), bringing hurricane-force winds there. A Personal Weather Station at the Buccaneer Resort on the northeast coast of St. Croix recorded sustained winds of 80 mph at a height of 110 feet. Rainfall there was 6.28" on Thursday, and 9.11" so far today, for a storm total of 15.39". Other wind measurements and total rainfall for the past two days from Omar:

St. Croix airport 39 mph, gusting to 58 mph, 4.56"
Limetree Bay, south side of St. Croix 51 mph, gusting to 71 mph
Limetree Bay CMAN station, St. Croix 53 mph
St. Maartin airport 45 mph, gusting to 67 mph, 7.02"
Anguilla West End Personal Weather Station 45 mph, gusting to 69 mph, 2.88" (elevation 45 feet)

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

sunshinefun
October 08, 2014 11:22AM

Registered: 5 years ago
Posts: 589

My kids slept right through Omar.

Re: Hurricane Season 2014

speee1dy
October 08, 2014 03:48PM

Registered: 10 years ago
Posts: 8,447

i slept through omar too. stanford security was around for that and it was awesome because they were everywhere making sure we were okay and no looting was going on downtown.

Join the discussion. Click the button below to Login or Register now!

Click here to login

  • Blue Ocean Transport

Moving to the U.S. Virgin Islands?

Settlers Handbook
Only $17.95

The Settlers Handbook for the U.S. Virgin Islands is your guide to moving to St. Croix, St. Thomas, St. John and Water Island.

The current 18th Edition, released in January 2016, will help you explore your dream of island living. A solid reference book, it was first published in 1975. That's 40 years of helping people move to the islands. A must read. Order today.

Order Today

Advertise

Join VIMovingCenter.com Today!

Tell prospective and current residents about your business.

Learn More →

Sister Sites

VITraders

USVI Books & Souvenirs

VInow

USVI Vacation Guide

Living in de V.I.

USVI Relocation DVD

Proud Supporter

VI Olympic Team

For over 45 years, the Virgin Islands has celebrated the Olympic tradition by sending our athletes to compete.

Learn More →