The Johns Hopkins website today indicates 40 confirmed cases and no deaths, none recovered. According to the Source, the Health Department states 34 have recovered (as of 4/3/20). There was a man who flew to Kentucky, ill with a cough, and died there, evidently between March 24 and Friday. I'm just wondering if he should be included in the VI statistics. I have a feeling that people are not seeing the truth because of testing lags and delays. This is a problem in the states as well.
The only statistic I would trust is the fact that as the numbers of infected cases increase in US the US mortality slowly approaches WHO mortality of 3.6%.
This leads me to believe that over 96% will either recover or become a carrier.
Some encouraging news in an article from The Source:
Statistically, so far the territory is faring better than most states and territories, in terms of progression. The 91-DIVOC web project, which collates CDC data, indicates the U.S. Virgin Islands has the lowest rate of spread of any U.S. state or territory, after controlling for population size. Being an isolated island able to restrict access and getting an early start on social distancing when the number of cases was still small may have been factors.
Whether the epidemic strains V.I. hospitals depends heavily on how well residents practice social distancing for the next month or so.