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Hurricane Irma - 11am update  

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Alana33
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September 3, 2017 7:05 pm  

The calm before the storm.
Saw some pics of what a gorgeous day it is.

I'm sorry Pammerjo!
I've got a friend that was supposed to be leaving on Wednesday for vacation. That's probably not going to happen.
People visiting on vacation here are leaving early.
Travel insurance is good to have if traveling during hurricane season.

Pammerjo - unplug all your tv's and electronic equipment and everything else. Don't leave perishable food items in refrigerator or freezer.
Good luck.


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Spartygrad95
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September 3, 2017 7:16 pm  

As busy as the beach are today you'd never know there's a hurricane on it's way.

Had a nice time at Magens today. Got the yard furniture and pool stuff cleaned up. We are as ready as we will be save for sandbags which hopefully fire station in Dorothea will have


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Spartygrad95
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September 3, 2017 7:16 pm  

My mom is scheduled to come Wednesday. I'm sure that will be cancelled.


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Pammerjo
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September 3, 2017 7:30 pm  

The calm before the storm.
Saw some pics of what a gorgeous day it is.

I'm sorry Pammerjo!
I've got a friend that was supposed to be leaving on Wednesday for vacation. That's probably not going to happen.
People visiting on vacation here are leaving early.
Travel insurance is good to have if traveling during hurricane season.

Pammerjo - unplug all your tv's and electronic equipment and everything else. Don't leave perishable food items in refrigerator or freezer.
Good luck.

thanks! nah - I don't leave anything in here food-wise when I leave except a few cans of soda for guests. I DO have a ton of water and non-perishables in the (unlikely) (I'm being optimistic) event that I'm turned away at the airport and have to weather it out. Otherwise my house keeper will take them.

I'm supposed to have a guest checking in on the 13th but we've been keeping in touch all week and I think she's finally ready to admit that her trip probably isn't going to happen. 🙁


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singlefin
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September 3, 2017 8:28 pm  

Spaghettimodels.com

A guy at Ziggy's turned me onto this sits.
Intresting.


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Spartygrad95
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September 4, 2017 8:19 am  

Each subsequent update the cone gets further and further south. This is getting more and more real on STT
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/090051.shtml?cone#contents


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islandjoan
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September 4, 2017 10:10 am  

Yes it sucks! I hope it makes that NW turn soon enough to spare STT STJ the BVIs Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda and st Martin...but that is looking less likely that Irma will miss them.????

Each subsequent update the cone gets further and further south. This is getting more and more real on STT
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/090051.shtml?cone#contents/blockquote >


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Spartygrad95
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September 4, 2017 11:04 am  

The tracker from stormcaribe was at 100+ miles 2 days ago, 77 miles yesterday, 44 miles today. The trend is against us.


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speee1dy
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September 4, 2017 11:04 am  

pretty sure it will be but better safe. hope she can come at a later date

My mom is scheduled to come Wednesday. I'm sure that will be cancelled.


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Spartygrad95
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September 4, 2017 1:50 pm  

European model has direct hit for STJ and STT now. NHC has been slowly revising their track closer and closer as well. Bunker down.


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Scubadoo
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September 4, 2017 2:06 pm  

The 11AM update from NOAA doesn't look any better. Official Warning now in place for the outer islands and a Watch in place for VI and PR. At least it looks like the worst of it will pass through during daylight hours.


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Spartygrad95
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September 4, 2017 2:17 pm  

http://www.myfoxhurricane.com/custom/models/ecmwf.html

The European model animation is bad


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Alana33
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September 4, 2017 2:34 pm  

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for St. Thomas...St. John... and Adjacent Islands, Virgin Islands

Weather Updated: Sep 04 11:07AM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For St. Thomas...St. John... and Adjacent Islands, Virgin Islands
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE WIND CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA AND WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - ST THOMAS ST JOHN AND ADJACENT ISLANDS * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: EQUIVALENT CAT 1 HURRICANE FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 55-75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH - WINDOW FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS: WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 58 TO 73 MPH. - TO BE SAFE, EARNESTLY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT WIND IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY TO SECURE ALL PROPERTIES. - DANGEROUS WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN INJURY. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 3-5 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS STORM SURGE FLOODING OF GREATER THAN 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND. - TO BE SAFE, EARNESTLY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING IMPACTS. EVACUATION EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY. - LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO HEED EVACUATION ORDERS MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. LEAVE IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IF RECOMMENDED. POOR DECISIONS MAY NEEDLESSLY RISK LIVES. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW SPOTS. - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 4-8 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: HIGH - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR MAJOR FLOODING WHERE PEAK RAINFALL TOTALS WELL EXCEED AMOUNTS CONDUCIVE FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID INUNDATION. RESCUES AND EMERGENCY EVACUATIONS ARE LIKELY. - TO BE SAFE, AGGRESSIVELY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF EXTENSIVE FLOODING RAIN IMPACTS. - LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR SIGNIFICANT LOSS OF LIFE. IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED, HEED RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. POOR DECISIONS MAY RESULT IN BEING CUT OFF OR NEEDLESSLY RISK LIVES. IF VULNERABLE, RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND BEFORE FLOOD WATERS ARRIVE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE - MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, ARROYOS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. IN MOUNTAIN AREAS, DESTRUCTIVE RUNOFF MAY RUN QUICKLY DOWN VALLEYS WHILE INCREASING SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF MOVING WATER WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME DANGEROUS. MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED - EMERGENCY PLANNING SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES, MOSTLY WITH SHORTER AND NARROWER DAMAGE PATHS. - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED TORNADO IMPACTS. - LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU/
SEE LIVE RADAR


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Alana33
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September 4, 2017 3:33 pm  

Meteorological - HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT

Issued By: NWS San Juan (San Juan, Puerto Rico)
Affected Jurisdictions: St. Croix, St. John, St. Thomas Counties

Headline: Hurricane Local Statement issued September 04 at 11:15AM AST by NWS San Juan

...A hurricane watch has been issued for Puerto Rico and US VirginIslands...NEW INFORMATION---------------* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:- A Hurricane Watch has been issued for all Puerto Rico and USVirgin Islands.* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:- A Hurricane Watch is in effect for all Puerto Rico and US VirginIslands.* STORM INFORMATION:- About 840 miles east of San Juan PR or about 770 miles east ofSaint Thomas VI- 16.8N 53.3W- Storm Intensity 120 mph- Movement West-southwest or 255 degrees at 14 mphSITUATION OVERVIEW------------------Irma is expected to remain as a major hurricane as it approachesPuerto Rico and the U.S Virgin Islands Wednesday afternoon intoThursday. Irma could cause dangerous winds, storm surge and rainfallimpacts across the local isles. Hurricane Force winds are possibleacross Northern U.S. Virgin Islands, Culebra and Northeast Puerto Ricowith strong tropical force winds likely. The rest of the area likely toexperience tropical storm force winds. Wind gusts with hurricane forcewind are likely at higher elevations. The earliest reasonable time oftropical storm winds is Wednesday morning. Rainfall accumulationsbetween 4 to 8 with isolated amounts over 10 inches likely


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speee1dy
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September 4, 2017 3:47 pm  

THANKS FOR THE UPDATES


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Pammerjo
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September 4, 2017 4:13 pm  

I mean, I wouldn't be at all upset if Epstein's Anubis temple or whatever the hell it is got taken out because I hate looking at it every day. That is all.


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wanderer
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September 4, 2017 4:59 pm  

I mean, I wouldn't be at all upset if Epstein's Anubis temple or whatever the hell it is got taken out because I hate looking at it every day. That is all.

I believe you are referring to the piano studio:


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Pammerjo
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September 4, 2017 5:02 pm  

I mean, I wouldn't be at all upset if Epstein's Anubis temple or whatever the hell it is got taken out because I hate looking at it every day. That is all.

I believe you are referring to the piano studio:

Yeah. That thing. I look directly at it and it's just a constant reminder of that pig and also it's ugly.

Okay...back to obsessing about Irma....


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Alana33
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September 4, 2017 6:11 pm  

I've heard "Most banks closing tomorrow by noon."
Public schools are delaying their opening on September 5.
USCG and Port Authority to issue statements regarding port closings for sea and air travel.


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Scubadoo
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September 4, 2017 6:25 pm  

AA has issued an Irma travel alert for the islands allowing travelers to reschedule their flight to sometime within September 4 - 12 without a change fee. How generous.


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Spartygrad95
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September 4, 2017 6:27 pm  

They cancelled my mom's flight in Wednesday today.


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Alana33
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singlefin
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September 4, 2017 7:55 pm  

I've had a monstrous two story house under construction for 2 years next door to me. It's got windows installed and its surrounded by very sketchy looking scaffolding.
There hasn't been anyone over there in weeks. Nobody is prepping the place for this incoming hurricane.
I know that scaffolding is going flying, through the windows, through the house, God only knows where it's going to land.

I'm praying not into any of the surrounding neighbors homes.


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Pammerjo
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September 4, 2017 8:06 pm  

I've had a monstrous two story house under construction for 2 years next door to me. It's got windows installed and its surrounded by very sketchy looking scaffolding.
There hasn't been anyone over there in weeks. Nobody is prepping the place for this incoming hurricane.
I know that scaffolding is going flying, through the windows, through the house, God only knows where it's going to land.

I'm praying not into any of the surrounding neighbors homes.

Can you contact the owner/person who is building it and say "dude, wtf?" last night I was looking at that MONSTER going up in Botany Bay - the one higher up from Villa Pearl and was thinking...ooo that's not good.


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Scubadoo
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September 4, 2017 8:21 pm  

Scaffolding could certainly go flying in a wicked storm even though it probably doesn't have much wind resistance. It doesn't take long at all to take down scaffolding and chain it up to something on the ground if not store it. Is it on a steep hill?


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