Hurricane Maria - TD 15
well, at least my procrastination paid off;
According to http://stormcarib.com/closest.cgi:
Results for St.Croix (17.7N, 64.8W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.5N, 65.0W or about 19.8 miles (31.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 12 hours and 44 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 20 at 7:06AM AST).
Maria probably arriving as a Category 4 and growing system. Satellite and radar presentations suggest her inner eyewall is consolidating strength in the heavy thunderstorm arena. Fortunately, if there is a fortunately, her eye diameter is only 15 miles wide so peak winds are in a small piece of Maria. Still, where they land, it will be catastrophic. This damage will be enhanced by the slower forward motion of 10 mph. Torrential rains, mudslides and flash flooding will also be experienced. Guadeloupe could also feel the eyewall of Maria. The surrounding islands will feel many of the same effects except for the eyewall itself as TS force winds stretch out up to 125 miles.
gives me some hope... hopefully she goes further south and just gives us a light breeze and some rain.