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Meteorological - HURRICANE WATCH

 
Alana33
(@alana33)
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Meteorological - HURRICANE WATCH

Issued By: NWS San Juan (San Juan, Puerto Rico)
Affected Jurisdictions: St. Croix, St. John, St. Thomas Counties

Headline: (CONTINUATION) Hurricane Watch issued October 13 at 2:45PM AST until further notice by NWS San Juan

...Gonzalo Continues To Strengthen And Is Expected To Become Ahurricane This Evening....New Information...Storm Information And Position..Areas Affected...This Local Statement Provides Important Information Andrecommended Actions For People And Marine Interests In Locationsand Coastal Waters Of Puerto Rico And The U.S. Virgin Islands..Watches/Warnings...A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Continues Forpuerto Rico And The U.S. Virgin Islands.For Marine Interests...A Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricanewatch Continues For All Of Puerto Rico And The U.S. Virginislands Coastal Waters.A Flash Flood Watch Is In Effect For All Of Puerto Rico And Theu.S. Virgin Islands. Please Listen Closely For Any Flood Warningsthat Might Be In Effect For Your Area..Storm Information...At 2 PM AST...The Center Of Tropical Storm Gonzalo Was Locatednear Latitude 17.4N...Longitude 62.4W. This Was About 250 Mileseast-Southeast Of San Juan Pr...Or About 160 Miles East Of Saintcroix Vi. Storm Motion Was Wnw Or 295 Degrees At 10 Mph. Stormintensity Was 70 Mph..Situation Overview...Rain...Heavy At Times...Associated With Gonzalo Will Overspreadthe U.S. Virgin Islands Monday Evening And Reach Eastern Puertorico Early Tuesday Morning. Rain Will Continue Through Tuesdayafternoon. 4 To 8 Inches Of Rain Are Expected Across The U.S.Virgin Islands And Puerto Rico...Especially The Eastern Portionof The Island. Isolated Maximum Totals Of 12 Inches Possible.As Tropical Storm Gonzalo Approaches...Sustained Tropical Stormforce Winds Are Expected To Begin Late Tonight Manly Over Theatlantic Waters And The Northern U.S. Virgin Islands. Over Puertorico And Saint Croix...Gusts To Tropical Storm Force Windspossible Late Tonight And Tuesday Mainly In Squally Weather Andrain Bands. Marine Conditions Are Expected To Deteriorate Mondaynight With Seas Up To 18 Feet..Precautionary/Preparedness Actions....Next Update...The Next Local Statement Will Be Issued By The National Weatherservice In San Juan Around 6 PM AST...Or Sooner If Conditionswarrant....Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect......Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect...&&...Probability Of Tropical Storm/Hurricane Conditions...The Chance For Hurricane Conditions At This Time Is Lessthan Or Equal To 32 Percent. Also...The Chance For Tropicalstorm Conditions At This Time Is Less Than Or Equal To 97Percent. This Represents A General Steady Trend Since Thelast Forecast....Inland Flooding...Tropical Storm Gonzalo Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfallaccumulations Of 4 To 8 Inches Across The U.S. Virgin Islandsand Puerto Rico...With Isolated Maximum Totals Of 12 Inchespossible. A Flash Flood Watch Is In Effect For Puerto Rico Andthe U.S. Virgin Islands. Listen For Possible Flood Warningsfor Your Location...And Be Ready To Act If Flooding Rainsoccur....Winds And Seas...As Tropical Storm Gonzalo Approaches...Sustained Tropical Stormforce Winds Are Expected To Begin Late Tonight Mainly Over Theatlantic Waters And The Northern U.S. Virgin Islands. Over Puertorico And Saint Croix...Gusts To Tropical Storm Force Winds Possiblelate Tonight And Tuesday Mainly In Squally Weather And Rain Bands.Seas Up To 18 Feet....Storm Surge And Storm Tide...Total Water Rises Of 1 To 3 Feet Above Inundation Level. Largebreaking Waves Will Cause Dangerous Conditions Throughout Thesurf Zone And Numerous Rip Currents. Wave Action Surging Uponthe Coastline And Higher Than Normal Waters Levels May Pose Atthreat To Life And Property And Produce Minor Beach Erosion....Tornadoes And Waterspouts...Isolated Tornadoes And Waterspouts Will Be Possible Especiallyin Squally Weather And Rain Bands Mainly Northeast Of Gonzalo.

For Those Under A Warning...Now Is The Time To Rush To Completionpreparations For The Protection Of Life And Property. Evacuate Ifdirected To Do So By Local Officials...Or If Your Home Isvulnerable To High Winds Or Flooding.For Interests At Ports...Docks...And Marinas...Urgently Completeprescribed Preparations According To Your Emergency Operationsplan For Tropical Cyclones. If You Live On A Boat...Make Finalpreparations For Securing Your Craft Before Leaving It. Be Sure Toaccount For The Possible Closure Of Bridges And Causeways.Regardingany Coastal Waters Under A Warning...Small Craft Should Remain Inport And Well Secured.For Those Under A Watch...Continue With Your Preparations Andlisten For Possible Warnings.Regarding Any Coastal Waters Under A Watch...Small Craft Shouldreturn To Port Or Seek Safe Harbor. Determine The Best Strategyfor Securing Your Craft.Closely Monitor Noaa Weather Radio Or Other Local News Outletsfor Official Storm Information. Listen For Possible Changes Tothe Forecast.For Additional Precautionary And Preparedness Information...Please Refer To The Detailed Recommendations Relative To Yourlocation As Further Described By Your Local National Weatherservice Office And Local Emergency Management.

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Topic starter Posted : October 13, 2014 8:12 pm
malibutexan07
(@malibutexan07)
Advanced Member

Update: Gonzalo is now a hurricane.

75mph sustained winds up to 10mi from center, with tropical storm winds up to 105mi from center. Strengthening is expected to continue.

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Posted : October 13, 2014 9:08 pm
Alana33
(@alana33)
Expert

Anguilla is getting pummeled with 80-100 mph winds at this time.
Hopefully Storm stays its course and just brushes by us with outer bands and not over us like Anguilla is experiencing.Stay safe everyone and off the roads.

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Topic starter Posted : October 13, 2014 9:17 pm
speee1dy
(@speee1dy)
Expert

thanks for the updates

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Posted : October 13, 2014 9:17 pm
OldTart
(@the-oldtart)
Expert

This is a good site with practicality and less major drama:

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/

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Posted : October 13, 2014 9:43 pm
Alana33
(@alana33)
Expert

UPDATE: Gonzalo Upgraded to Hurricane Status, USVI Remains Under Tropical Storm Warning, Hurricane Watch

At 5 p.m., the center of Hurricane Gonzalo was located by an Air Force reserve reconnaissance aircraft and Guadeloupe radar near Latitude 17.9 degrees north, Longitude 62.9 degrees west. Gonzalo is moving toward the northwest near 12 miles per hour.

On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo will continue to move through the northern Leeward Islands tonight be near or just east of the Virgin Islands tonight and early Tuesday and emerge over the open Atlantic ocean by Tuesday afternoon. Hurricane Gonzalo is expected to make it closest point of approach to the Virgin Islands on at about 2 a.m. on Tuesday, when the storm center will be located approximately 48 miles to the northeast of St. John.

Reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 miles per hour with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next48 hours and Gonzalo could become a major hurricane by Wednesday when it is located over the open Atlantic Ocean.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles.

Hurricane conditions are possible tonight and early Tuesday with tropical storm conditions expected by this evening across the Virgin Islands. Gonzalo is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches possible across the Virgin Islands. Rain, which will be heavy at times, will spread over the Virgin Islands tonight and brush Puerto Rico early tomorrow morning. A Flash Flood Watch is effect for the Virgin Islands through late Tuesday night. Periods of rain will continue through Tuesday evening.

Dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow in the hurricane warning area. Swells will begin affecting the USVI this evening and will reach the northern coast of Puerto Rico tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

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Topic starter Posted : October 13, 2014 9:45 pm
speee1dy
(@speee1dy)
Expert

luckily we did not get anything except some rain and a few power outages

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Posted : October 14, 2014 12:09 pm
OldTart
(@the-oldtart)
Expert

I wryly enjoyed the input from off-island forum participants (on several different forums) telling locals what we should expect and how we should deal with it - while the night denizens were happily chirruping outside as they enjoyed the occasional rainfall!

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Posted : October 14, 2014 12:20 pm
Alana33
(@alana33)
Expert

We had very wind or rain here in stt. No outages (yet). Leaf litter at minimum. Ports, schools, government offices, businesses are open.
Grateful we dodged that bullet as it did drop 10 points on the barometer from 984 millibars to 974 in a very short time and had rapid intensification to 110 mph winds over night. Anguilla got pummeled according to a friend that called last night who has a work project there.

Guess I'll drag all the outdoor furniture and plants back outside later when I am feeling a bit more energetic. I probably overprepared but I feel it's better to have done so and been ready, than done nothing or very little and been freaking out in the middle of the night if a storm takes the wrong bit of jog towards us and all hell breaks loose. My insurance companies probably wouldn't like it either.

I'll say a prayer for Bermuda who is now in this storm's path and all those being devastated by tornadoes and extreme weather, stateside.
In fact, all those worldwide who are impacted by extreme weather.

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Topic starter Posted : October 14, 2014 1:37 pm
klpmtm
(@klpmtm)
Advanced Member

So glad everything went well for you all. My hubby and I were keeping tabs on Gonzolo from here & reading your posts learning what little we could from afar.

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Posted : October 14, 2014 3:01 pm
AandA2VI
(@AandA2VI)
Trusted Member

The videos on you tube of Gonzalo and Antigua are no joke. It was very powerful and I am glad it barely missed us. I did wake up about 4 am to some pretty horizontal rain but too tired to get video lol.

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Posted : October 14, 2014 3:28 pm
Alana33
(@alana33)
Expert

We were lucky it was a relatively compact, small storm, winds did not extend out very far from the center and it moved by rather quickly.

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Topic starter Posted : October 14, 2014 3:33 pm
C_Ray6
(@C_Ray6)
Advanced Member

I am glad all my friends made it safely through this storm.

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Posted : October 15, 2014 11:45 am
Alana33
(@alana33)
Expert

Imo, we dodged a bullet with this storm and should thank our lucky stars. See: http://stthomassource.com/

If it hadn't taken that little jog to the nw, we'd likely been up the creek as at one point it was predicted to go right over stt.

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Topic starter Posted : October 15, 2014 1:37 pm
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