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aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

Hurricane Igor is gonna be a beast! Let's hope he turns north before he gets here!

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Topic starter Posted : September 12, 2010 3:14 pm
pt
 pt
(@pt)
Advanced Member

Not to make light of a serious subject but I bet a lot of people will be pronouncing it Eye-gor just for fun. If we can't make it stop we can at least laugh at it!

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Posted : September 12, 2010 3:29 pm
Linda J
(@Linda_J)
Expert

It looks like it will make the turn north before it affects us much. But you never know.

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Posted : September 12, 2010 3:37 pm
aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

Upgraded to a CAT 2 at 11AM. Upgraded to a CAT 4 at 2PM. What a beast!

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Topic starter Posted : September 12, 2010 8:10 pm
Exit Zero
(@exit-zero)
Trusted Member Registered

There is not a single Model that has Igor coming within 300 nm of the VI

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Posted : September 12, 2010 10:42 pm
Juanita
(@Juanita)
Expert

Still not taking my eyes off Igor. A little blip, and Igor doesn't get the "go north" message....better safe than sorry. We JUST today put some of the "stuff" back out and up after Earl...oh well...! And then, of course, there is # 12...and then...13, 14, 15???

Side note...What is the highest letter named storm anyone remembers, either VI or Atlantic coast?

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Posted : September 13, 2010 12:21 am
aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

Zeta was the 28th named storm of the 2005 season. Zeta formed on December 29th!

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Topic starter Posted : September 13, 2010 12:32 am
LuckyGirl56
(@LuckyGirl56)
Advanced Member

Keeping my fingers crossed that the "turn north" happens soon as predicted. If Igor keeps tracking west like Earl did and turns later than the experts are predicting, we might be in for something not so nice. Just my opinion tho.

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Posted : September 13, 2010 1:02 am
Novanut
(@novanut)
Trusted Member

Hope y'all are right! North by Northeast!

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Posted : September 13, 2010 1:10 am
amyc
 amyc
(@amyc)
Active Member

Hi everyone,
There are 2 models - canadian and european that have igor not turning N until 70 Longitude at Lat 18. keep your fingers crossed

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Posted : September 13, 2010 1:23 am
STXjill
(@stxjill)
Advanced Member

Igor is a monster ... the sooner he starts heading North, as "they" predict, the better I'll feel ... NOW would be a good time for him to head North!

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Posted : September 13, 2010 4:39 pm
rhstoo
(@rhstoo)
Advanced Member

For those too young to remember, the EyeGore pronunciation comes from the Movie "Young Frankenstein" (in which the evil doctor's name was pronounced Frawnkensteen.) Let's hope we don't talk about him very much more.

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Posted : September 13, 2010 6:14 pm
RockyDock
(@RockyDock)
Advanced Member

September 13, 2010, Advisory 22, 11amAST - Igor still 5kt below a Cat 5, 933mb, moving a bit south of due west.

That's just wrong! Igor, go NORTH not south.

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Posted : September 13, 2010 8:03 pm
aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

With wind gusts up to 184 MPH. That's just nuts!

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Topic starter Posted : September 13, 2010 8:45 pm
aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

From the 5PM advisory...

THE INITIAL MOTION IS STILL DUE WEST...270 DEGREES...AT 9 KNOTS.
ALL OF THE GUIDANCE...EXCEPT THE UKMET...INSISTS ON A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IGOR BEGINS TO MOVE INTO
A LARGE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE
INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS AGAIN BEEN
ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY THROUGH 48
HOURS. BEYOND THAT TIME...THERE IS STILL SOME SPREAD IN THE TRACK
GUIDANCE. THE ECMWF AND UKMET STILL SHOW A STRONGER RIDGE NORTH OF
IGOR THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD...TAKING THE CYCLONE FARTHER WEST
THAN THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE. THE GFS AND GFDL CONTINUE TO SHOW
THE LEAST RIDGING AND TURN IGOR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT THE END OF
THE PERIOD AHEAD OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. WHILE CONFIDENCE IN THE
TRACK FORECAST LATE IN THE PERIOD REMAINS LOW...THE GUIDANCE SHOWS
A LITTLE LESS SPREAD NOW THAN EARLIER TODAY. THE NEW OFFICIAL
FORECAST SHOWS A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...AND IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THIS ENDS UP BEING VERY CLOSE TO
THE TVCN MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND A BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF
MODELS.

LARGE SWELLS FROM IGOR WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
TOMORROW AND REACH PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY WEDNESDAY.

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Topic starter Posted : September 13, 2010 8:52 pm
Exit Zero
(@exit-zero)
Trusted Member Registered

Aussie - You left out the very next sentence -- - - an important part of that NHC 5PM discussion --- At 64'W which is our longitude here in the VI the center of Igor is predicted to be at 30'N which is 720 Nautical Miles North of the VI -"the sky is not falling"
I certainly believe we have to be vigilant and very aware of the weather here , especially this time of year but please try to include all the really relevant info with less of a scare tactic.

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Posted : September 13, 2010 9:19 pm
aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

Scare tactic? Uh...what the hell ya talkin' about there, Zero old boy?

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Topic starter Posted : September 13, 2010 10:01 pm
longtime
(@longtime)
Advanced Member

Thanks Zero--

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Posted : September 13, 2010 10:11 pm
East Ender
(@east-ender)
Expert

aussie aka "I love storms" : You are the original alarmist meh son. https://www.vimovingcenter.com/talk/read.php?4,142496,142530#msg-142530

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Posted : September 13, 2010 10:30 pm
aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

LOL...a shot and a miss there, cynical EE!

Damn, there are a lot of fearful people on this board. Zero is obsessed with whether this storm is coming here. I'm not. I'm intently watching one hell of a gorgeous storm wondering if it will reach CAT 5 intensity. The dynamics of this thing are plainly awesome.

All of the models continue to show this puppy turning north soon. I never stated or intimated otherwise. Bermuda may or may not be in the path. Otherwise, this is a fish storm.

Marilyn was a long time ago. Mayhap you should stop living in the past.

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Topic starter Posted : September 13, 2010 10:40 pm
pamela
(@pamela)
Trusted Member

Well, aussie, you know what we say here. They all go north unless they don't!

Pamela

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Posted : September 13, 2010 11:00 pm
aussie
(@aussie)
Trusted Member

LOL... Pamela! Nope, I hadn't heard that one.

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Topic starter Posted : September 13, 2010 11:03 pm
Bombi
(@Bombi)
Trusted Member

the sky is falling

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Posted : September 13, 2010 11:32 pm
Exit Zero
(@exit-zero)
Trusted Member Registered

No obsession on my part about Igor - just give all the info------------------------ - 'Fish storm'?? - there are also vessels out there!
If you were really here during Marilynn or Hugo -- I absolutely Doubt you could 'forget' them.

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Posted : September 13, 2010 11:51 pm
poorthang
(@poorthang)
Advanced Member

Pres. Reagan said "Trust but verify" , Forecasters..... Predict and then Watch like the rest of us. Just curious what the forecasters had predicted for Hugo?????*-)

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Posted : September 13, 2010 11:51 pm
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