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Storm tracking

 

artifact
(@artifact)
Advanced Member
Joined: 15 years ago
Posts: 22
July 18, 2009 2:51 pm  

I'm trying to learn about the whole storm tracking and prep thing pretending that I have moved to the VIs.

So... Invest 97 looks like it has a lot of potential to blow over the VIs. What do you experts do when watching these early developments? I know there was on thread that said if its between whatever-and-whatever parallel (or latitude?) keep an eye on it but I can't find that thread. I'm figuring right now its way too early to worry since the storm could fitz out to nothing -- are there any things to check on that'd help tell if its going to solidify or putter out? Ocean temps, wind, Sahara dust, moon, solar flares, magnetic field variations, etc? Any other tricks or tips or grandma's folklore?

Also, any links to good educational sites would be appreciated.

Thanks,
artifact
(West coast tropical storm newbie.)


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Rosea
(@Rosea)
Advanced Member
Joined: 14 years ago
Posts: 41
July 18, 2009 3:46 pm  

artifact,

We use the National Hurricane Website. We are from Florida and that is what we used there. They are more accurate than the local forcast.


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pamela
(@pamela)
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Joined: 18 years ago
Posts: 1171
July 18, 2009 5:02 pm  

May I introduce myself? My friends and family call me "Ms. We are all going to die in storm". So I go a little overboard on the prep but you really never know how much clean, fresh undies and socks out of a sealed plastic package mean to you until everything you own is sodden with 100% humidity for days on end. And OK caviar and Doritos for a snack after a storm is a bit much but hey .....

Oh, any way, i start with www.wunderground.com with the local forecast, move on to weather.com and then caribwx.com (but it gets a bit too technical for me sometimes) then on to noaa or the National Hurricane Website. They all have probability maps.

Pay attention to the yachties. We will start moving or start throwing out more anchors, etc. as the time approaches.

All you can do is get ready (and the national hurricane center website has some great tips) then settle in and enjoy as much as possible. Get your supplies together, store in a safe dry place ready to move if you live in an area where your neighbors suggest it. Or snuggle up with a good friend and don't start drinking until everything is safely stowed, you are tucked in and safe or best yet until the storm subsides.

Pamela


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Michaelds9
(@Michaelds9)
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Joined: 15 years ago
Posts: 328
July 18, 2009 5:50 pm  

Here is another site that has great graphics. Tells you exactly how far from the center of the low to any point you mouse over.

http://www.stormpulse.com/

Stress to the point of physical illness is when you are off island and your boats in the harbor and a storm is coming....
I bought lost my mind during Omar ..... people lost their homes (ie boats) in that one. Around 40-50 boats where destroyed plus part of the board walk.


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pamela
(@pamela)
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Joined: 18 years ago
Posts: 1171
July 18, 2009 7:38 pm  

Oh, yes, it is hard to explain but being here is much better than not being here during a storm! Watching it on the weatherchannel from the states must be insane!

Pamela


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Michaelds9
(@Michaelds9)
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Joined: 15 years ago
Posts: 328
July 18, 2009 7:49 pm  

Thanks for understanding Pamela.


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Ronnie
(@ronnie)
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Joined: 18 years ago
Posts: 2259
July 18, 2009 8:18 pm  

I wait until is is classified a Tropical Storm before i begin to even worry.


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Exit Zero
(@exit-zero)
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Joined: 15 years ago
Posts: 2453
July 18, 2009 10:01 pm  

it does get a bit technical but lots of pictures help and putting them in the loop mode really helps to understand what is happening ---- I use many sites but find www.weathercarib.com to be the most current, local and informative!
Tonite the weather will degrade into rain and wind and probably gust up to 40 - the next system, invest 97, has about a 50% [fairly accurate] chance of tropical development and may not deserve worrying but does merit monitoring.


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islandjoan
(@islandjoan)
Trusted Member
Joined: 16 years ago
Posts: 1794
July 19, 2009 8:54 pm  

Another great site is www.stormcarib.com

Storm forecasting is very complicated. The best course of action is to watch the tropical update on the weather channel at 10 to the hour, check a few weather sites, and be prepared with your storm supplies.

Keep in mind that tropical storms can, and have, developed from tropical storm status to cat 3 or 4 hurricane within 24 hours, so pay attention if a tropical storm is named.


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SunshineCruzan
(@SunshineCruzan)
Advanced Member
Joined: 15 years ago
Posts: 215
July 22, 2009 4:45 am  

Thanks everyone for the new sites! I'm a weather buff and these are new to me. I get daily e-mail alerts from NOAA which you need to keep an eye on when nothing is happening...space wise.
Pamela, I'll never forget watching Hugo sit on STX for hours when I lived in Maine....no words to describe it.
May we be blessed with another "good" season this year and the following ones. Just don't ever take it for granted anymore that it CAN'T happen.


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