92L Invest off Africa

We know to look at what is coming off the coast. All storms pretty much start there. You are more like chicken little if you plan to do tis every time one appears to start. This will go on all summer. Be more attentive when they are bearing down on us, maybe 2 or 3 days out.

ronnie,
first off, let me apologize for the lack of caps...it's broken. geez, no parenthesis or exclamation points...
with that said, i was thinking of posting the same 'heads up'. i don't think it's ever too early to start keeping an eye out on the weather,
then again, i'm a weather buff.
would a separate thread on let's say this storm, and other separate ones that follow be a better idea ...'question mark' ...this no caps stinks...exclamation point...
sorry, i'm really quite serious on the question. what do you or/and others think...question...

I don't think a separate storm thread is needed. If we spent all season worrying about each storm, that's all we'd do. This is my favorite site - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml

If we spent all season worrying about each storm, that's all we'd do.

My point exactly. Now if it was a tropical depression that was truly heading this way it would be something take note about. Other than that, this is just a disturbance, it may dissipate today and then you have worried about nothing. I too am a weather buff, I report on stormcarib.com, there you get great updates.

Having been through various hurricanes since and including Hugo, I, and hopefully others will agree, don't need some chicken little tell us about a little disturbance, that's all. What you can do is to make sure you have hurricane supplies ready for the season in event that something happens you are prepared and not scurrying around looking for supplies.

Actually Ronnie tropical waves come off the coast of Africa, rarely do we see the formation of a Cape Verde depression, one that develops east of 40W. Even more rare is a Cape Verde that forms this early in the season, one notable exception would be Bertha in '96.
Though I agree that their is a very low probability that anything of significance to coastal communities will develop from this storm, I started the post because the climatological pattern is favorable for development with virtually no upper level shear. In addition SST are above normal for the Mid-Atlantic. I would think that since we live in the Caribbean their would be individuals on this board who are interested in the physics hurricane development and steering, and the best way to learn is by tracking storms from birth especially those that form outside the normal model parameters. Curiosity is different than worry. For those individuals who are like-minded I would recommend www.easternuswx.com where meteorologists post discussions and weather buffs can read and learn.

I'll remember to limit new topics on this public forum in the future.

CL

OK, so, how about some predictions? What should the predictions entail:
- where will it be in 24 hours (from posting date/time)
- what category will it be in 24 hours (from posting date/time)
- how close will the center of the hurricane get to USVI
- when will it reach the USVI
- what category will it be when it reaches USVI
- how high will concrete prices go after the hurricane

hey AllMashUp, I'm with you on this one. I've been watching 92L Invest also. Absolutely nothing wrong with telling people it's out there. Better to watch these things and have advance notice of what's coming, than to scramble to prepare a day or two ahead. (tu)

HEY AllMashUP,
Thanks! I'M with you too, Keep it up!

Here's another thanks AllMashUP!

For anyone who spends a lot of time in Firefox, check out this plugin: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/398

It shows current conditions and displays severe weather alerts. Pretty neat.

Now it's Tropical Storm Bertha...which is so weird because th '96 storm called Bertha was also an early cape verde storm....

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

Tropical Storm Bertha in the east Atlantic moving to the northwest. so far looks like no problem.

Hey everyone-- just in case TS Bertha was off your radars (no pun intended!), the revised paths now have us in the 5-10% range of being affected. There is a chance it might not curve north and could possibly track straight into the Caribbean.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/145015.shtml?tswind120#contents

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200802.public.html#a_topad